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At Risk · Tightening Approval

Approval has dropped 11 points since the FOP-contract rejection. Re-election fundraising lags Q1 target by 22%. Treat tracked priorities as soft commitments through Q3.

SW

Mayor Sarah Wallace

At Risk

Independent · Mayor of Chicago · 1st term

Influence Score 81.0 ↓ 4.2
Total Raised $3.8M
Cycle 2027 (re-elect)
auto_awesome Summary

First-term mayor running on a centrist coalition. Former CEO of a regional logistics company. Took office on a public-safety platform; pension and FOP contract fights have eroded support across both flanks. Still leans pragmatic on business-friendly priorities, but political capital is constrained — re-elect math is tightening.

Endorsement Timeline

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Chicagoland Chamber of Commerce

Mar 2026

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Illinois Restaurant Association

Feb 2026

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Chicago Federation of Labor

Jan 2026 · Conditional

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FOP Lodge 7

Withdrawn · Apr 2026

Contribution Heatmap

Geographic Origin

Loop & North Side dominate; suburban thin.

Top Donor Sectors

Real Estate & Development$960K
Hospitality & Tourism$680K
Finance / Hedge Funds$540K
Construction$310K

Municipal Issue Alignment

CY 2025–26
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Business-Friendly Permits

88%

Streamlined zoning approvals; cut Loop redevelopment review by 40%.

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Pension Reform

82%

Pushed Tier-3 modifications; faces strong CTU/AFSCME headwinds.

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Public Safety Funding

76%

Increased CPD budget two cycles; tension with progressive aldermen.

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Affordable Housing

52%

Mixed: supports density bonuses, opposed Bring Chicago Home transfer tax.

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Migrant Services

48%

Maintained shelter capacity but pushed for federal cost-share.

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Transit / CTA Funding

68%

Backs RTA reform; vocal on capital backlog at federal level.